Of all the economic rules of thumb the COVID-19 pandemic seemingly ripped up, few have caused as much soul-searching as the inverted U.S. yield curve - though it may just be interpreted incorrectly.

An inverted yield curve is a visual representation of the performance of long-term securities versus short-term securities. Read on to understand what that really means.

Figure One depicts the yield curve as it stands today (inverted), and as it stood in May 2021 (upward-sloping) before the Fed embarked on a series of rate hikes that brought its overnight Fed ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve is currently inverted, with yields on short-term bonds higher than yields on longer-term bonds. Some expect this to unwind with short-term bond yields falling faster ...

The 3-Month Treasury Bill’s rate of 5.50% is currently the highest among US treasuries as of June 2023. It was 0% at the beginning of last year. The 3-month rate is currently higher than the 3 ...

The time between an inverted yield curve and a recession has ranged from six to 24 months. As soon as the yield curve begins to invert, economists and investors begin to turn their heads.

The yield curve was identified as a recession predictor in the 1980s by Duke University economist Campbell Harvey. Though it can feel confusing and technical, Harvey said, at its heart, the yield ...

Expectations of another rate hike by the Federal Reserve to tame stubbornly high inflation helped push a closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve to its deepest inversion since 1981 ...

For well over a year now, we’ve had what’s known as an inverted yield curve, meaning the interest paid by 10-year Treasury bonds has been lower than shorter-term debt, like two-year Treasurys.

The U.S. curve has inverted before each recession since 1955, with a recession following in six to 24 months, according to a 2018 report by researchers at the San Francisco Fed.

The inverted U.S. Treasury yield curve has been a good predictor of past recessions. To fight the decades-high inflation of 2022, the Federal Reserve (Fed) began raising interest rates last year.