Ali Bhanpuri uses the Next Gen Stats playoff probability model to shed light on the 2024 NFL playoff picture. Which team is most likely to unseat the Chiefs atop the AFC? Which division frontrunners are most at risk of losing their leads?

The NFL is 10 weeks through the 2024 season, and only one unbeaten team remains -- the Kansas City Chiefs. There are also some surprise division leaders, including the Arizona Cardinals (NFC West) and Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC North).

The Ravens cemented their spot atop the AFC North, and now will be rooting for the Eagles to defeat the Chiefs on Monday night.

The Kansas City Chiefs are now 9-0 this season. But several other teams have impressed as of late, with the Detroit Lions' win streak at seven games, the Philadelphia Eagles and Buffalo Bills having each won five straight and the Pittsburgh Steelers and Arizona Cardinals each at four wins in a row.

Week 10 saw numerous tight games drastically swing the NFL playoff picture. Let’s examine the current NFL standings and playoff picture, as well as the Week 10 games that had the biggest impact. Current NFL Playoff Bracket and Scenarios AFC Playoff Chances 1.