SP+ predicts that Miami will defeat Louisville by a projected score of 32 to 24 and will win the game by an expected margin of 7.9 points. The model gives the Hurricanes a solid 69 percent chance of outright victory.

Miami quarterback Carson Beck leads the ACC in passing accuracy, while Louisville tops the conference in completion percentage defense.

While the Cardinals defense has been solid, the offense has been inefficient, particularly since the start of conference play. Louisville ranks 76th in offensive success rate, which includes 61st on dropbacks and 88th on rushes.

Take a look at how the Cardinals stack up against the Hurricanes for their Friday matchup, and who the statistical models favor:

Louisville has a long history of high-powered offense. Coach Jeff Brohm has a much more balanced group of Cardinals these days.