This is the last week of a truly shitty Atlantic hurricane season. It was record-breaking. People are still recovering. Misinformation managed to make things even worse. Now, we get a six-month-ish break before it starts over again — perhaps with fewer federal resources to respond in the US.

Tropical cyclones are among the most deadly and costly natural disasters that affect the United States and many other countries each year. This has led the scientific community to prioritize improving tropical cyclone prediction and the understanding of how tropical cyclone activity has changed and will change in the future.

So far, the 2024 season has produced 18 named storms, 11 of which developed into hurricanes, including five major hurricanes at Category 3 or greater.

Some long range global models show weak low pressure trying to form over the Southern or Western Caribbean & there is a lot of disorganized convection over the Central Caribbean. Any low pressure that might form should stay away from the Lower 48 of the U.S. as upper level troughing holds firm over the Eastern half of the U.S.

The last day of Atlantic hurricane season is November 30 and it is unlikely we will add any more activity this year. On average, the Atlantic hurricane season has 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes.

The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season was marked by an unusual pattern of storm activity. In total, forecasters tracked 18 named storms, 11 hurricanes, and 5 major hurricanes during the season.

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